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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Wednesday, 10 August 2016

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 23
  3. 40
  4. 44
  5. 46
  6. 15

Jackpot$24,000,000

The crowdHeld 13% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 690 of 1,751 under them

← 2016-08-06All recent draws2016-08-13 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 23 40 44 46 + 1529 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 August 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

42oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 25% of every possible ticket.

  • sum88th
  • odd32th
  • low32th
  • widest gap84th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread98th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 73 of each

170times
2366times
4057times
4466times
46

Prize breakdown · 2016-08-10

  • Lines in play≈ 2.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$442.9Kto 105k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 24lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball0 winnerschance said 0.06

Where the money went

  • Match 2 + Mega Ball16%$71.5K
  • Match 330%$133.5K
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball15%$65.7K
  • 5 other tiers39%$172.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball0≈ 0.06 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

67times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 26 of each

1526times

Every number was expected about that many times after 689 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (23, 40, 46) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 21 January 2012 — its closest relative in 689 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (6 August 2016): 1, 46 carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 15 repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

154

The numbers add up to 154 — the 87th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

40 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$24,000,000
  • Match 52≈ 1.6 by chance$19,403
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball9≈ 13 by chance$2,155
  • Match 4280≈ 339 by chance$115
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball508≈ 534 by chance$57.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball6,503≈ 7.1k by chance$11.00
  • Match 312,132≈ 14k by chance$11.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball32,860≈ 35k by chance$2.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball52,789≈ 53k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 12,132 winners, 13% fewer than the 14k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball0$24,000,000
    Match 52$19,403
    Match 4 + Mega Ball9$2,155
    Match 4280$115
    Match 3 + Mega Ball508$57.00
    Match 312,132$11.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball6,503$11.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball32,860$2.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball52,789$1.00
    Totals105,083—