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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Wednesday, 18 November 2015

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 13
  2. 21
  3. 34
  4. 37
  5. 41
  6. 2

Jackpot$16,000,000

The crowdHeld 7% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 614 of 1,751 under them

← 2015-11-14All recent draws2015-11-21 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed13 21 34 37 41 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 November 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

52oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 48% of every possible ticket.

  • sum81th
  • odd89th
  • low32th
  • widest gap32th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread30th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 65 of each

1371times
2168times
3471times
3759times
41

Prize breakdown · 2015-11-18

  • Lines in play≈ 2.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$390.4Kto 98k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 24lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball0 winnerschance said 0.06

Where the money went

  • Match 2 + Mega Ball18%$71.7K
  • Match 334%$133.1K
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball15%$60.0K
  • 4 other tiers32%$125.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball0≈ 0.06 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

64times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 23 of each

219times

Every number was expected about that many times after 613 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (21, 34, 37) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 10 October 2015 — its closest relative in 613 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 November 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

146

The numbers add up to 146 — the 80th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

41 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 14% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$16,000,000
  • Match 50≈ 1.5 by chance$36,914
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball11≈ 12 by chance$1,677
  • Match 4278≈ 316 by chance$110
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball471≈ 498 by chance$58.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball5,979≈ 6.6k by chance$12.00
  • Match 312,100≈ 13k by chance$11.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball30,001≈ 32k by chance$2.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball49,203≈ 49k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 + Mega Ball — 5,979 winners, 10% fewer than the 6.6k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball0$16,000,000
    Match 50$36,914
    Match 4 + Mega Ball11$1,677
    Match 4278$110
    Match 3 + Mega Ball471$58.00
    Match 312,100$11.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball5,979$12.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball30,001$2.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball49,203$1.00
    Totals98,043—