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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Wednesday, 21 October 2015

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 13
  3. 16
  4. 19
  5. 27
  6. 9

Jackpot$8,000,000

The crowdHeld 7% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 606 of 1,752 under them

← 2015-10-17All recent draws2015-10-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 13 16 19 27 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 October 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

27oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 27 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 6% of every possible ticket.

  • sum9th
  • odd89th
  • low89th
  • widest gap6th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread13th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 64 of each

556times
1370times
1660times
1963times
27

Prize breakdown · 2015-10-21

  • Lines in play≈ 2.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$375.9Kto 105k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 22lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball0 winnerschance said 0.06

Where the money went

  • Match 2 + Mega Ball18%$66.2K
  • Match 333%$122.2K
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball13%$48.3K
  • 5 other tiers37%$139.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball0≈ 0.06 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

57times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 22 of each

923times

Every number was expected about that many times after 605 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (13, 16, 27) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 11 April 2015 — its closest relative in 605 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 October 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

80

The numbers add up to 80 — the 8th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

5 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$8,000,000
  • Match 52≈ 1.5 by chance$17,027
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball17≈ 12 by chance$1,001
  • Match 4357≈ 310 by chance$79.00
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball654≈ 489 by chance$39.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball7,360≈ 6.5k by chance$9.00
  • Match 313,581≈ 13k by chance$9.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball34,392≈ 32k by chance$1.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball48,288≈ 48k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 + Mega Ball — 7,360 winners, 13% more than the 6.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball0$8,000,000
    Match 52$17,027
    Match 4 + Mega Ball17$1,001
    Match 4357$79.00
    Match 3 + Mega Ball654$39.00
    Match 313,581$9.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball7,360$9.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball34,392$1.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball48,288$1.00
    Totals104,651—