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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Wednesday, 30 September 2015

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 6
  2. 13
  3. 15
  4. 31
  5. 32
  6. 26

Jackpot$12,000,000

The crowdHeld 17% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 600 of 1,751 under them

← 2015-09-26All recent draws2015-10-03 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 13 15 31 32 + 2629 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 September 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

61oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 76% of every possible ticket.

  • sum22th
  • odd65th
  • low65th
  • widest gap53th
  • neighbours79th
  • spread23th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 64 of each

666times
1368times
1589times
3159times
32

Prize breakdown · 2015-09-30

  • Lines in play≈ 2.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$396.5Kto 102k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 23lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball0 winnerschance said 0.06

Where the money went

  • Match 2 + Mega Ball19%$74.0K
  • Match 333%$132.2K
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball16%$64.4K
  • 4 other tiers32%$125.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball0≈ 0.06 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

71times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 22 of each

2629times

Every number was expected about that many times after 599 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (15, 31, 32) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 30 August 2014 — its closest relative in 599 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 September 2015): 15 carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

97

The numbers add up to 97 — the 21th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. Side-by-side numbers: 31–32. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

13 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$12,000,000
  • Match 50≈ 1.5 by chance$37,769
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball17≈ 12 by chance$1,110
  • Match 4297≈ 305 by chance$105
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball544≈ 481 by chance$52.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball6,729≈ 6.4k by chance$11.00
  • Match 314,686≈ 13k by chance$9.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball32,191≈ 31k by chance$2.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball47,533≈ 48k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 14,686 winners, 17% more than the 13k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball0$12,000,000
    Match 50$37,769
    Match 4 + Mega Ball17$1,110
    Match 4297$105
    Match 3 + Mega Ball544$52.00
    Match 314,686$9.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball6,729$11.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball32,191$2.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball47,533$1.00
    Totals101,997—