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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Saturday, 1 August 2015

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 3
  3. 6
  4. 17
  5. 28
  6. 2

Jackpot$61,000,000

The crowdHeld 31% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 583 of 1,751 under them

← 2015-07-29All recent draws2015-08-05 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 3 6 17 28 + 229 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 August 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

41oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 41 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 24% of every possible ticket.

  • sum1th
  • odd65th
  • low89th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread26th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 62 of each

163times
353times
662times
1752times
28

Prize breakdown · 2015-08-01

  • Lines in play≈ 3.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$631.6Kto 154k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 22lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball0 winnerschance said 0.08

Where the money went

  • Match 2 + Mega Ball16%$103.5K
  • Match 331%$194.3K
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball15%$95.2K
  • 5 other tiers38%$238.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball0≈ 0.08 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

51times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 22 of each

217times

Every number was expected about that many times after 582 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 3, 6) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 27 September 2014 — its closest relative in 582 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 July 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

55

The numbers add up to 55 — the 1th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$61,000,000
  • Match 51≈ 2.1 by chance$54,848
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball23≈ 17 by chance$1,192
  • Match 4659≈ 451 by chance$69.00
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball828≈ 712 by chance$49.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball10,345≈ 9.5k by chance$10.00
  • Match 324,293≈ 19k by chance$8.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball47,607≈ 46k by chance$2.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball70,332≈ 70k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 24,293 winners, 31% more than the 19k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball0$61,000,000
    Match 51$54,848
    Match 4 + Mega Ball23$1,192
    Match 4659$69.00
    Match 3 + Mega Ball828$49.00
    Match 324,293$8.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball10,345$10.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball47,607$2.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball70,332$1.00
    Totals154,088—