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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Saturday, 11 July 2015

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 18
  2. 23
  3. 33
  4. 34
  5. 39
  6. 10

Jackpot$54,000,000

The crowdHeld 14% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 577 of 1,751 under them

← 2015-07-08All recent draws2015-07-15 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed18 23 33 34 39 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 July 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

44oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 29% of every possible ticket.

  • sum82th
  • odd65th
  • low32th
  • widest gap14th
  • neighbours79th
  • spread11th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 61 of each

1859times
2358times
3374times
3466times
39

Prize breakdown · 2015-07-11

  • Lines in play≈ 3.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$612.3Kto 156k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 24lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball0 winnerschance said 0.09

Where the money went

  • Match 2 + Mega Ball16%$98.9K
  • Match 329%$177.2K
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball16%$97.5K
  • 5 other tiers39%$238.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball0≈ 0.09 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

57times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 21 of each

1030times

Every number was expected about that many times after 576 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (18, 33, 34) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 28 February 2015 — its closest relative in 576 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 96% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 July 2015): 34 carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 10 repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

147

The numbers add up to 147 — the 81th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. Side-by-side numbers: 33–34. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

18 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$54,000,000
  • Match 51≈ 2.4 by chance$52,227
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball12≈ 19 by chance$2,176
  • Match 4390≈ 502 by chance$111
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball670≈ 792 by chance$58.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball9,885≈ 11k by chance$10.00
  • Match 317,722≈ 21k by chance$10.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball48,745≈ 51k by chance$2.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball78,274≈ 78k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 390 winners, 22% fewer than the 502 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball0$54,000,000
    Match 51$52,227
    Match 4 + Mega Ball12$2,176
    Match 4390$111
    Match 3 + Mega Ball670$58.00
    Match 317,722$10.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball9,885$10.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball48,745$2.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball78,274$1.00
    Totals155,699—