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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Saturday, 23 May 2015

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 12
  3. 17
  4. 19
  5. 46
  6. 26

Jackpot$37,000,000

The crowdHeld 14% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 563 of 1,751 under them

← 2015-05-20All recent draws2015-05-27 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 12 17 19 46 + 2629 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 May 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

48oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 38% of every possible ticket.

  • sum31th
  • odd65th
  • low89th
  • widest gap95th
  • neighbours79th
  • spread60th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 60 of each

1161times
1264times
1748times
1959times
46

Prize breakdown · 2015-05-23

  • Lines in play≈ 3.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$556.0Kto 131k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 23lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball0 winnerschance said 0.07

Where the money went

  • Match 2 + Mega Ball17%$96.7K
  • Match 330%$164.9K
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball15%$84.3K
  • 5 other tiers38%$210.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball0≈ 0.07 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

58times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 21 of each

2627times

Every number was expected about that many times after 562 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (12, 46) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 1 April 2015 — its closest relative in 562 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 May 2015): 11 carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

105

The numbers add up to 105 — the 30th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. Side-by-side numbers: 11–12. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

19 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$37,000,000
  • Match 51≈ 1.9 by chance$48,555
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball24≈ 15 by chance$1,011
  • Match 4439≈ 391 by chance$92.00
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball680≈ 616 by chance$53.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball8,792≈ 8.2k by chance$11.00
  • Match 318,318≈ 16k by chance$9.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball42,133≈ 40k by chance$2.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball60,900≈ 61k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 18,318 winners, 14% more than the 16k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball0$37,000,000
    Match 51$48,555
    Match 4 + Mega Ball24$1,011
    Match 4439$92.00
    Match 3 + Mega Ball680$53.00
    Match 318,318$9.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball8,792$11.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball42,133$2.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball60,900$1.00
    Totals131,287—