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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Saturday, 16 May 2015

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 5
  3. 22
  4. 39
  5. 42
  6. 3

Jackpot$34,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 561 of 1,752 under them

← 2015-05-13All recent draws2015-05-20 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 5 22 39 42 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 May 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

64oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 64 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 84% of every possible ticket.

  • sum37th
  • odd32th
  • low65th
  • widest gap60th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread83th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 60 of each

265times
553times
2265times
3954times
42

Prize breakdown · 2015-05-16

  • Lines in play≈ 3.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$563.7Kto 138k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 24lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball0 winnerschance said 0.08

Where the money went

  • Match 2 + Mega Ball16%$87.4K
  • Match 331%$174.7K
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball16%$87.7K
  • 5 other tiers38%$213.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball0≈ 0.08 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

61times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 21 of each

322times

Every number was expected about that many times after 560 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (39, 42) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 22 April 2015 — its closest relative in 560 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 May 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

110

The numbers add up to 110 — the 36th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

2 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$34,000,000
  • Match 54≈ 2.0 by chance$11,954
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball12≈ 17 by chance$1,992
  • Match 4454≈ 430 by chance$87.00
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball637≈ 679 by chance$56.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball8,740≈ 9.0k by chance$10.00
  • Match 317,471≈ 18k by chance$10.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball43,831≈ 44k by chance$2.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball67,052≈ 67k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 + Mega Ball — 637 winners, 6% fewer than the 679 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball0$34,000,000
    Match 54$11,954
    Match 4 + Mega Ball12$1,992
    Match 4454$87.00
    Match 3 + Mega Ball637$56.00
    Match 317,471$10.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball8,740$10.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball43,831$2.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball67,052$1.00
    Totals138,201—