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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Saturday, 7 March 2015

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 15
  2. 19
  3. 22
  4. 43
  5. 46
  6. 7

Jackpot$14,000,000

The crowdHeld 25% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 541 of 1,751 under them

← 2015-03-04All recent draws2015-03-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed15 19 22 43 46 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 7 March 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

61oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 75% of every possible ticket.

  • sum80th
  • odd65th
  • low65th
  • widest gap81th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread42th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 57 of each

1580times
1958times
2262times
4359times
46

Prize breakdown · 2015-03-07

  • Lines in play≈ 3.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$462.2Kto 133k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 25lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball0 winnerschance said 0.08

Where the money went

  • Match 2 + Mega Ball16%$75.6K
  • Match 332%$147.9K
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball15%$67.9K
  • 5 other tiers37%$170.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball0≈ 0.08 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

56times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 20 of each

726times

Every number was expected about that many times after 540 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (15, 22, 43) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 24 November 2010 — its closest relative in 540 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 96% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 March 2015): 15 carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

145

The numbers add up to 145 — the 80th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

19 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$14,000,000
  • Match 51≈ 2.1 by chance$41,830
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball15≈ 17 by chance$1,394
  • Match 4292≈ 436 by chance$119
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball563≈ 687 by chance$55.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball8,404≈ 9.2k by chance$9.00
  • Match 313,445≈ 18k by chance$11.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball42,303≈ 45k by chance$1.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball67,903≈ 68k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 13,445 winners, 25% fewer than the 18k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball0$14,000,000
    Match 51$41,830
    Match 4 + Mega Ball15$1,394
    Match 4292$119
    Match 3 + Mega Ball563$55.00
    Match 313,445$11.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball8,404$9.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball42,303$1.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball67,903$1.00
    Totals132,926—