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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Saturday, 20 September 2014

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 7
  3. 12
  4. 15
  5. 38
  6. 3

Jackpot$10,000,000

The crowdHeld 16% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 493 of 1,752 under them

← 2014-09-17All recent draws2014-09-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 7 12 15 38 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 September 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

43oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 27% of every possible ticket.

  • sum6th
  • odd32th
  • low89th
  • widest gap88th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread64th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 52 of each

256times
760times
1255times
1570times
38

Prize breakdown · 2014-09-20

  • Lines in play≈ 2.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$465.5Kto 120k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 22lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball0 winnerschance said 0.06

Where the money went

  • Match 2 + Mega Ball16%$75.3K
  • Match 329%$134.4K
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball16%$76.3K
  • 5 other tiers39%$179.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball0≈ 0.06 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

42times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 18 of each

319times

Every number was expected about that many times after 492 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 12, 38) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 12 April 2014 — its closest relative in 492 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 September 2014): 7 carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

74

The numbers add up to 74 — the 6th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

2 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$10,000,000
  • Match 52≈ 1.7 by chance$20,263
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball14≈ 14 by chance$1,447
  • Match 4420≈ 354 by chance$80.00
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball637≈ 558 by chance$47.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball8,364≈ 7.4k by chance$9.00
  • Match 316,806≈ 15k by chance$8.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball38,159≈ 36k by chance$2.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball55,108≈ 55k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 16,806 winners, 16% more than the 15k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball0$10,000,000
    Match 52$20,263
    Match 4 + Mega Ball14$1,447
    Match 4420$80.00
    Match 3 + Mega Ball637$47.00
    Match 316,806$8.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball8,364$9.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball38,159$2.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball55,108$1.00
    Totals119,510—