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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Saturday, 23 August 2014

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 13
  2. 23
  3. 25
  4. 38
  5. 43
  6. 23

Jackpot$12,000,000

The crowdHeld 10% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 485 of 1,751 under them

← 2014-08-20All recent draws2014-08-27 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed13 23 25 38 43 + 2329 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 August 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

56oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 60% of every possible ticket.

  • sum77th
  • odd89th
  • low32th
  • widest gap32th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread38th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 51 of each

1359times
2347times
2564times
3840times
43

Prize breakdown · 2014-08-23

  • Lines in play≈ 2.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$474.6Kto 119k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 24lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball0 winnerschance said 0.07

Where the money went

  • Match 2 + Mega Ball16%$76.1K
  • Match 329%$138.7K
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball16%$75.3K
  • 5 other tiers39%$184.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball0≈ 0.07 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

54times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 18 of each

2328times

Every number was expected about that many times after 484 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (23, 25, 38) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 11 June 2014 — its closest relative in 484 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 August 2014): nothing carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

142

The numbers add up to 142 — the 77th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

43 had not appeared for 49 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$12,000,000
  • Match 53≈ 1.8 by chance$13,720
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball19≈ 14 by chance$1,083
  • Match 4316≈ 375 by chance$108
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball687≈ 591 by chance$44.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball7,613≈ 7.9k by chance$10.00
  • Match 313,867≈ 15k by chance$10.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball37,632≈ 38k by chance$2.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball58,440≈ 58k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 + Mega Ball — 687 winners, 16% more than the 591 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball0$12,000,000
    Match 53$13,720
    Match 4 + Mega Ball19$1,083
    Match 4316$108
    Match 3 + Mega Ball687$44.00
    Match 313,867$10.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball7,613$10.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball37,632$2.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball58,440$1.00
    Totals118,577—