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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Wednesday, 16 July 2014

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 5
  3. 6
  4. 14
  5. 34
  6. 17

Jackpot$21,000,000

The crowdHeld 18% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 474 of 1,751 under them

← 2014-07-12All recent draws2014-07-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 5 6 14 34 + 1729 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 July 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

44oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 29% of every possible ticket.

  • sum2th
  • odd32th
  • low89th
  • widest gap77th
  • neighbours79th
  • spread42th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 50 of each

339times
544times
646times
1440times
34

Prize breakdown · 2014-07-16

  • Lines in play≈ 2.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$475.3Kto 121k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 22lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball0 winnerschance said 0.07

Where the money went

  • Match 2 + Mega Ball16%$76.6K
  • Match 329%$137.5K
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball16%$76.7K
  • 5 other tiers39%$184.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball0≈ 0.07 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

54times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 18 of each

1711times

Every number was expected about that many times after 473 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 5, 14) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 11 September 2013 — its closest relative in 473 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 93% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 July 2014): nothing carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

62

The numbers add up to 62 — the 2th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. Side-by-side numbers: 5–6. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

6 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$21,000,000
  • Match 53≈ 1.7 by chance$13,986
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball13≈ 14 by chance$1,613
  • Match 4398≈ 356 by chance$87.00
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball669≈ 561 by chance$47.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball8,514≈ 7.5k by chance$9.00
  • Match 317,186≈ 15k by chance$8.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball38,363≈ 36k by chance$2.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball55,461≈ 55k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈2.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 + Mega Ball — 669 winners, 19% more than the 561 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball0$21,000,000
    Match 53$13,986
    Match 4 + Mega Ball13$1,613
    Match 4398$87.00
    Match 3 + Mega Ball669$47.00
    Match 317,186$8.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball8,514$9.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball38,363$2.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball55,461$1.00
    Totals120,607—