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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Saturday, 1 March 2014

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 10
  3. 20
  4. 30
  5. 35
  6. 13

Jackpot$25,000,000

The crowdHeld 3% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 435 of 1,751 under them

← 2014-02-26All recent draws2014-03-05 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 10 20 30 35 + 1329 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 March 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

52oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 49% of every possible ticket.

  • sum24th
  • odd9th
  • low65th
  • widest gap14th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread42th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 46 of each

452times
1040times
2038times
3045times
35

Prize breakdown · 2014-03-01

  • Lines in play≈ 3.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$552.7Kto 160k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 24lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball0 winnerschance said 0.09

Where the money went

  • Match 2 + Mega Ball17%$95.9K
  • Match 332%$176.9K
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball14%$77.4K
  • 5 other tiers37%$202.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball0≈ 0.09 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

44times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 16 of each

1315times

Every number was expected about that many times after 434 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (10, 30, 35) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 12 May 2012 — its closest relative in 434 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 February 2014): 20 carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

99

The numbers add up to 99 — the 23th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 27 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$25,000,000
  • Match 53≈ 2.4 by chance$16,515
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball18≈ 19 by chance$1,376
  • Match 4504≈ 497 by chance$81.00
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball872≈ 783 by chance$42.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball10,655≈ 10k by chance$9.00
  • Match 319,653≈ 20k by chance$9.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball50,748≈ 51k by chance$1.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball77,376≈ 77k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 + Mega Ball — 872 winners, 11% more than the 783 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball0$25,000,000
    Match 53$16,515
    Match 4 + Mega Ball18$1,376
    Match 4504$81.00
    Match 3 + Mega Ball872$42.00
    Match 319,653$9.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball10,655$9.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball50,748$1.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball77,376$1.00
    Totals159,829—