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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Saturday, 15 February 2014

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 21
  3. 24
  4. 28
  5. 38
  6. 1

Jackpot$19,000,000

The crowdHeld 16% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 431 of 1,751 under them

← 2014-02-12All recent draws2014-02-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 21 24 28 38 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 February 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

65oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 65 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 85% of every possible ticket.

  • sum49th
  • odd9th
  • low65th
  • widest gap32th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread38th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 46 of each

842times
2149times
2442times
2838times
38

Prize breakdown · 2014-02-15

  • Lines in play≈ 3.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$560.7Kto 132k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 23lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball0 winnerschance said 0.07

Where the money went

  • Match 2 + Mega Ball17%$93.4K
  • Match 331%$171.3K
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball15%$82.2K
  • 5 other tiers38%$213.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball0≈ 0.07 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

33times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 16 of each

114times

Every number was expected about that many times after 430 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (8, 21, 38) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 21 December 2011 — its closest relative in 430 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 February 2014): 28 carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

119

The numbers add up to 119 — the 48th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$19,000,000
  • Match 54≈ 1.9 by chance$12,343
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball15≈ 15 by chance$1,645
  • Match 4476≈ 399 by chance$86.00
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball643≈ 629 by chance$57.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball8,495≈ 8.4k by chance$11.00
  • Match 319,036≈ 16k by chance$9.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball41,080≈ 41k by chance$2.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball62,111≈ 62k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 19,036 winners, 16% more than the 16k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball0$19,000,000
    Match 54$12,343
    Match 4 + Mega Ball15$1,645
    Match 4476$86.00
    Match 3 + Mega Ball643$57.00
    Match 319,036$9.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball8,495$11.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball41,080$2.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball62,111$1.00
    Totals131,860—