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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Wednesday, 5 February 2014

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 34
  2. 39
  3. 40
  4. 45
  5. 47
  6. 18

Jackpot$16,000,000

The crowdHeld 19% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 428 of 1,751 under them

← 2014-02-01All recent draws2014-02-08 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed34 39 40 45 47 + 1829 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 February 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

20oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 20 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 2% of every possible ticket.

  • sum100th
  • odd65th
  • low1th
  • widest gap1th
  • neighbours79th
  • spread1th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 45 of each

3450times
3938times
4040times
4554times
47

Prize breakdown · 2014-02-05

  • Lines in play≈ 3.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$514.4Kto 122k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 25lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball0 winnerschance said 0.07

Where the money went

  • Match 2 + Mega Ball16%$82.1K
  • Match 331%$159.5K
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball15%$75.8K
  • 5 other tiers38%$197.0K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball0≈ 0.07 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

57times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 16 of each

1814times

Every number was expected about that many times after 427 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (34, 39, 45) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 22 October 2011 — its closest relative in 427 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 91% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 February 2014): nothing carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

205

The numbers add up to 205 — the 100th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. Side-by-side numbers: 39–40. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

39 had not appeared for 27 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.3× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 20% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$16,000,000
  • Match 51≈ 1.9 by chance$43,863
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball13≈ 15 by chance$1,687
  • Match 4352≈ 400 by chance$103
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball487≈ 631 by chance$67.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball7,462≈ 8.4k by chance$11.00
  • Match 313,293≈ 16k by chance$12.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball37,897≈ 41k by chance$2.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball62,305≈ 62k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 + Mega Ball — 487 winners, 23% fewer than the 631 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball0$16,000,000
    Match 51$43,863
    Match 4 + Mega Ball13$1,687
    Match 4352$103
    Match 3 + Mega Ball487$67.00
    Match 313,293$12.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball7,462$11.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball37,897$2.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball62,305$1.00
    Totals121,810—