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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Saturday, 15 December 2012

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 15
  3. 24
  4. 26
  5. 28
  6. 10

Jackpot$20,000,000

The crowdHeld 12% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 309 of 1,751 under them

← 2012-12-12All recent draws2012-12-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 15 24 26 28 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 December 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

47oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 37% of every possible ticket.

  • sum30th
  • odd32th
  • low65th
  • widest gap10th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread5th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 33 of each

1138times
1546times
2433times
2632times
28

Prize breakdown · 2012-12-15

  • Lines in play≈ 4.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$720.9Kto 181k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 23lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball0 winnerschance said 0.10

Where the money went

  • Match 2 + Mega Ball15%$110.1K
  • Match 331%$222.9K
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball16%$115.8K
  • 5 other tiers38%$272.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball0≈ 0.10 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

23times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 11 of each

1013times

Every number was expected about that many times after 308 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (11, 24, 26) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 8 February 2012 — its closest relative in 308 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 83% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 December 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 10 repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

104

The numbers add up to 104 — the 29th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$20,000,000
  • Match 53≈ 2.6 by chance$20,372
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball18≈ 21 by chance$1,697
  • Match 4675≈ 541 by chance$75.00
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball968≈ 853 by chance$47.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball12,236≈ 11k by chance$9.00
  • Match 324,770≈ 22k by chance$9.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball57,886≈ 55k by chance$2.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball84,299≈ 84k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 675 winners, 25% more than the 541 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball0$20,000,000
    Match 53$20,372
    Match 4 + Mega Ball18$1,697
    Match 4675$75.00
    Match 3 + Mega Ball968$47.00
    Match 324,770$9.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball12,236$9.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball57,886$2.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball84,299$1.00
    Totals180,855—