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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Saturday, 8 December 2012

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 17
  2. 24
  3. 30
  4. 33
  5. 45
  6. 22

Jackpot$18,000,000

The crowdHeld 8% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 307 of 1,751 under them

← 2012-12-05All recent draws2012-12-12 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed17 24 30 33 45 + 2229 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 8 December 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

57oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 63% of every possible ticket.

  • sum84th
  • odd65th
  • low32th
  • widest gap25th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread30th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 33 of each

1731times
2432times
3032times
3335times
45

Prize breakdown · 2012-12-08

  • Lines in play≈ 4.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$715.5Kto 169k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 24lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball0 winnerschance said 0.10

Where the money went

  • Match 2 + Mega Ball16%$117.9K
  • Match 331%$221.1K
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball15%$106.5K
  • 5 other tiers38%$270.0K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball0≈ 0.10 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

39times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 11 of each

229times

Every number was expected about that many times after 306 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (17, 30) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 5 December 2012 — its closest relative in 306 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (5 December 2012): 17, 30 carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

149

The numbers add up to 149 — the 83th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

33 had not appeared for 45 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$18,000,000
  • Match 54≈ 2.5 by chance$15,200
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball17≈ 21 by chance$1,788
  • Match 4478≈ 534 by chance$106
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball817≈ 842 by chance$55.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball10,721≈ 11k by chance$11.00
  • Match 320,096≈ 22k by chance$11.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball53,250≈ 55k by chance$2.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball83,227≈ 83k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 478 winners, 11% fewer than the 534 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball0$18,000,000
    Match 54$15,200
    Match 4 + Mega Ball17$1,788
    Match 4478$106
    Match 3 + Mega Ball817$55.00
    Match 320,096$11.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball10,721$11.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball53,250$2.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball83,227$1.00
    Totals168,610—