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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Wednesday, 28 November 2012

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 9
  3. 13
  4. 21
  5. 46
  6. 23

Jackpot$15,000,000

The crowdHeld 6% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 304 of 1,751 under them

← 2012-11-24All recent draws2012-12-01 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 9 13 21 46 + 2329 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 November 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

35oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 35 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 15% of every possible ticket.

  • sum16th
  • odd65th
  • low89th
  • widest gap92th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread96th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 32 of each

237times
937times
1340times
2137times
46

Prize breakdown · 2012-11-28

  • Lines in play≈ 4.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$785.6Kto 194k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 23lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball0 winnerschance said 0.11

Where the money went

  • Match 2 + Mega Ball17%$133.9K
  • Match 329%$229.1K
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball16%$124.9K
  • 5 other tiers38%$297.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball0≈ 0.11 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

28times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 11 of each

2317times

Every number was expected about that many times after 303 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 13, 46) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 1 February 2012 — its closest relative in 303 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 83% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (24 November 2012): 2 carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

91

The numbers add up to 91 — the 16th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$15,000,000
  • Match 54≈ 2.8 by chance$16,821
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball23≈ 22 by chance$1,462
  • Match 4639≈ 584 by chance$87.00
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball984≈ 921 by chance$51.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball13,393≈ 12k by chance$10.00
  • Match 325,451≈ 24k by chance$9.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball62,445≈ 60k by chance$2.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball91,028≈ 91k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 639 winners, 9% more than the 584 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball0$15,000,000
    Match 54$16,821
    Match 4 + Mega Ball23$1,462
    Match 4639$87.00
    Match 3 + Mega Ball984$51.00
    Match 325,451$9.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball13,393$10.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball62,445$2.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball91,028$1.00
    Totals193,967—