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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Wednesday, 31 October 2012

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 16
  3. 29
  4. 31
  5. 40
  6. 20

Jackpot$7,000,000

The crowdHeld 4% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 296 of 1,751 under them

← 2012-10-27All recent draws2012-11-03 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 16 29 31 40 + 2029 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 31 October 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

72oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 72 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 97% of every possible ticket.

  • sum57th
  • odd65th
  • low32th
  • widest gap32th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread42th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 31 of each

935times
1629times
2931times
3131times
40

Prize breakdown · 2012-10-31

  • Lines in play≈ 3.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$531.4Kto 129k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 24lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball0 winnerschance said 0.07

Where the money went

  • Match 2 + Mega Ball17%$89.5K
  • Match 330%$158.2K
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball15%$81.4K
  • 5 other tiers38%$202.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball0≈ 0.07 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

25times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 11 of each

208times

Every number was expected about that many times after 295 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (16, 31, 40) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 10 August 2011 — its closest relative in 295 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 82% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 October 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

125

The numbers add up to 125 — the 56th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 30 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$7,000,000
  • Match 51≈ 1.9 by chance$45,462
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball15≈ 16 by chance$1,515
  • Match 4383≈ 404 by chance$98.00
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball580≈ 637 by chance$58.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball8,137≈ 8.5k by chance$11.00
  • Match 315,819≈ 17k by chance$10.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball40,695≈ 41k by chance$2.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball62,903≈ 63k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 + Mega Ball — 580 winners, 9% fewer than the 637 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball0$7,000,000
    Match 51$45,462
    Match 4 + Mega Ball15$1,515
    Match 4383$98.00
    Match 3 + Mega Ball580$58.00
    Match 315,819$10.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball8,137$11.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball40,695$2.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball62,903$1.00
    Totals128,533—