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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Saturday, 6 October 2012

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 9
  3. 15
  4. 17
  5. 31
  6. 25

Jackpot$7,000,000

The crowdHeld 27% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 289 of 1,751 under them

← 2012-10-03All recent draws2012-10-10 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 9 15 17 31 + 2529 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 6 October 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

40oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 40 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 21% of every possible ticket.

  • sum6th
  • odd99th
  • low89th
  • widest gap39th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread30th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 31 of each

320times
934times
1543times
1728times
31

Prize breakdown · 2012-10-06

  • Lines in play≈ 3.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$592.8Kto 145k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 22lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball0 winnerschance said 0.08

Where the money went

  • Match 2 + Mega Ball17%$101.0K
  • Match 330%$176.0K
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball16%$92.4K
  • 5 other tiers38%$223.4K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball0≈ 0.08 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

30times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 11 of each

2514times

Every number was expected about that many times after 288 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (9, 15, 17) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 16 May 2012 — its closest relative in 288 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 81% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 October 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

75

The numbers add up to 75 — the 6th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

9 had not appeared for 31 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$7,000,000
  • Match 52≈ 2.0 by chance$25,742
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball21≈ 16 by chance$1,225
  • Match 4538≈ 422 by chance$79.00
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball806≈ 666 by chance$47.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball10,101≈ 8.9k by chance$10.00
  • Match 322,000≈ 17k by chance$8.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball46,223≈ 43k by chance$2.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball65,786≈ 66k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 22,000 winners, 27% more than the 17k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball0$7,000,000
    Match 52$25,742
    Match 4 + Mega Ball21$1,225
    Match 4538$79.00
    Match 3 + Mega Ball806$47.00
    Match 322,000$8.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball10,101$10.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball46,223$2.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball65,786$1.00
    Totals145,477—