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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Saturday, 15 September 2012

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 6
  3. 7
  4. 19
  5. 36
  6. 16

Jackpot$21,000,000

The crowdHeld 34% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 283 of 1,751 under them

← 2012-09-12All recent draws2012-09-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 6 7 19 36 + 1629 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 September 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

50oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 45% of every possible ticket.

  • sum4th
  • odd65th
  • low89th
  • widest gap60th
  • neighbours79th
  • spread60th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 30 of each

128times
633times
736times
1935times
36

Prize breakdown · 2012-09-15

  • Lines in play≈ 3.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$711.0Kto 168k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 22lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball0 winnerschance said 0.09

Where the money went

  • Match 2 + Mega Ball17%$122.6K
  • Match 330%$216.2K
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball15%$103.9K
  • 5 other tiers38%$268.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball0≈ 0.09 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

26times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 10 of each

168times

Every number was expected about that many times after 282 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 19, 36) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 14 April 2012 — its closest relative in 282 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 80% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 September 2012): 7 carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

69

The numbers add up to 69 — the 4th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. Side-by-side numbers: 6–7. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

1 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$21,000,000
  • Match 52≈ 2.3 by chance$31,241
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball23≈ 19 by chance$1,358
  • Match 4668≈ 492 by chance$77.00
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball911≈ 776 by chance$51.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball11,146≈ 10k by chance$11.00
  • Match 327,028≈ 20k by chance$8.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball51,945≈ 50k by chance$2.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball76,687≈ 77k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 27,028 winners, 34% more than the 20k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball0$21,000,000
    Match 52$31,241
    Match 4 + Mega Ball23$1,358
    Match 4668$77.00
    Match 3 + Mega Ball911$51.00
    Match 327,028$8.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball11,146$11.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball51,945$2.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball76,687$1.00
    Totals168,410—