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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Wednesday, 8 August 2012

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 6
  2. 22
  3. 31
  4. 36
  5. 43
  6. 18

Jackpot$10,000,000

The crowdHeld 11% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 272 of 1,751 under them

← 2012-08-04All recent draws2012-08-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 22 31 36 43 + 1829 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 8 August 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

67oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 67 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 89% of every possible ticket.

  • sum73th
  • odd32th
  • low32th
  • widest gap53th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread69th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 29 of each

630times
2230times
3127times
3625times
43

Prize breakdown · 2012-08-08

  • Lines in play≈ 3.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$586.7Kto 140k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 24lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball0 winnerschance said 0.08

Where the money went

  • Match 2 + Mega Ball17%$98.7K
  • Match 330%$178.0K
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball15%$88.1K
  • 5 other tiers38%$221.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball0≈ 0.08 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

29times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 10 of each

187times

Every number was expected about that many times after 271 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (6, 22, 43) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 15 September 2010 — its closest relative in 271 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 79% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (4 August 2012): 43 carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

138

The numbers add up to 138 — the 72th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

31 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$10,000,000
  • Match 52≈ 2.1 by chance$24,779
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball13≈ 17 by chance$1,906
  • Match 4407≈ 445 by chance$101
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball686≈ 702 by chance$54.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball8,972≈ 9.4k by chance$11.00
  • Match 316,180≈ 18k by chance$11.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball44,063≈ 46k by chance$2.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball69,389≈ 69k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 16,180 winners, 11% fewer than the 18k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball0$10,000,000
    Match 52$24,779
    Match 4 + Mega Ball13$1,906
    Match 4407$101
    Match 3 + Mega Ball686$54.00
    Match 316,180$11.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball8,972$11.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball44,063$2.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball69,389$1.00
    Totals139,712—