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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Wednesday, 1 August 2012

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 11
  3. 36
  4. 40
  5. 45
  6. 13

Jackpot$8,000,000

The crowdHeld 22% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 270 of 1,751 under them

← 2012-07-28All recent draws2012-08-04 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 11 36 40 45 + 1329 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 August 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

47oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 37% of every possible ticket.

  • sum68th
  • odd32th
  • low32th
  • widest gap92th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread93th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 29 of each

233times
1130times
3624times
4020times
45

Prize breakdown · 2012-08-01

  • Lines in play≈ 3.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$528.6Kto 151k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 24lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball0 winnerschance said 0.09

Where the money went

  • Match 2 + Mega Ball16%$86.8K
  • Match 332%$170.2K
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball14%$75.3K
  • 5 other tiers37%$196.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball0≈ 0.09 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

37times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 10 of each

138times

Every number was expected about that many times after 269 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (11, 40, 45) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 26 May 2012 — its closest relative in 269 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 79% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 July 2012): 36, 40 carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

134

The numbers add up to 134 — the 67th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

45 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$8,000,000
  • Match 52≈ 2.3 by chance$23,933
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball15≈ 19 by chance$1,595
  • Match 4373≈ 483 by chance$106
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball649≈ 762 by chance$55.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball9,648≈ 10k by chance$9.00
  • Match 315,474≈ 20k by chance$11.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball49,257≈ 50k by chance$1.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball75,321≈ 75k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 15,474 winners, 22% fewer than the 20k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball0$8,000,000
    Match 52$23,933
    Match 4 + Mega Ball15$1,595
    Match 4373$106
    Match 3 + Mega Ball649$55.00
    Match 315,474$11.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball9,648$9.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball49,257$1.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball75,321$1.00
    Totals150,739—