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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Saturday, 21 April 2012

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 20
  3. 30
  4. 37
  5. 41
  6. 5

Jackpot$10,000,000

The crowdHeld 15% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 241 of 1,751 under them

← 2012-04-18All recent draws2012-04-25 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 20 30 37 41 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 April 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

64oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 64 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 83% of every possible ticket.

  • sum72th
  • odd65th
  • low32th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread46th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 26 of each

931times
2021times
3025times
3720times
41

Prize breakdown · 2012-04-21

  • Lines in play≈ 4.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$697.6Kto 172k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 24lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball0 winnerschance said 0.10

Where the money went

  • Match 2 + Mega Ball16%$108.5K
  • Match 330%$211.8K
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball16%$109.5K
  • 5 other tiers38%$267.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball0≈ 0.10 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

31times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 9 of each

57times

Every number was expected about that many times after 240 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (20, 37) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 17 March 2012 — its closest relative in 240 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 April 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

137

The numbers add up to 137 — the 71th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

20 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$10,000,000
  • Match 52≈ 2.6 by chance$29,678
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball18≈ 21 by chance$1,648
  • Match 4479≈ 549 by chance$103
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball797≈ 866 by chance$55.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball10,851≈ 12k by chance$10.00
  • Match 319,255≈ 23k by chance$11.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball54,758≈ 56k by chance$2.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball85,593≈ 86k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 19,255 winners, 15% fewer than the 23k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball0$10,000,000
    Match 52$29,678
    Match 4 + Mega Ball18$1,648
    Match 4479$103
    Match 3 + Mega Ball797$55.00
    Match 319,255$11.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball10,851$10.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball54,758$2.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball85,593$1.00
    Totals171,753—