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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Wednesday, 15 February 2012

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 5
  3. 16
  4. 25
  5. 37
  6. 16

Jackpot$12,000,000

The crowdHeld 17% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 222 of 1,751 under them

← 2012-02-11All recent draws2012-02-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 5 16 25 37 + 1629 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 February 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

53oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 53% of every possible ticket.

  • sum12th
  • odd89th
  • low65th
  • widest gap25th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread55th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 24 of each

315times
515times
1625times
2532times
37

Prize breakdown · 2012-02-15

  • Lines in play≈ 3.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$574.5Kto 147k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 23lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball0 winnerschance said 0.08

Where the money went

  • Match 2 + Mega Ball19%$109.7K
  • Match 333%$188.4K
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball16%$93.1K
  • 4 other tiers32%$183.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball0≈ 0.08 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

17times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 8 of each

165times

Every number was expected about that many times after 221 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 16, 25) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 23 October 2010 — its closest relative in 221 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 72% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 February 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

86

The numbers add up to 86 — the 12th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

3 had not appeared for 29 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$12,000,000
  • Match 50≈ 2.1 by chanceno winners
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball22≈ 17 by chance$1,266
  • Match 4495≈ 436 by chance$93.00
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball754≈ 687 by chance$55.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball9,970≈ 9.2k by chance$11.00
  • Match 320,938≈ 18k by chance$9.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball46,539≈ 45k by chance$2.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball67,920≈ 68k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 20,938 winners, 17% more than the 18k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball0$12,000,000
    Match 50$0.00
    Match 4 + Mega Ball22$1,266
    Match 4495$93.00
    Match 3 + Mega Ball754$55.00
    Match 320,938$9.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball9,970$11.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball46,539$2.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball67,920$1.00
    Totals146,638—