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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Saturday, 24 December 2011

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 12
  2. 15
  3. 37
  4. 42
  5. 43
  6. 8

Jackpot$7,000,000

The crowdHeld 19% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 207 of 1,751 under them

← 2011-12-21All recent draws2011-12-28 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed12 15 37 42 43 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 December 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

54oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 55% of every possible ticket.

  • sum84th
  • odd65th
  • low32th
  • widest gap84th
  • neighbours79th
  • spread42th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 22 of each

1219times
1532times
3715times
4226times
43

Prize breakdown · 2011-12-24

  • Lines in play≈ 4.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$793.5Kto 196k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 25lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball0 winnerschance said 0.12

Where the money went

  • Match 2 + Mega Ball17%$131.0K
  • Match 329%$233.8K
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball16%$123.9K
  • 5 other tiers38%$304.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball0≈ 0.12 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

20times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 8 of each

812times

Every number was expected about that many times after 206 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (37, 42) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 7 December 2011 — its closest relative in 206 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 December 2011): 43 carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

149

The numbers add up to 149 — the 83th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. Side-by-side numbers: 42–43. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

12 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$7,000,000
  • Match 52≈ 3.0 by chance$33,347
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball20≈ 25 by chance$1,667
  • Match 4534≈ 640 by chance$104
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball869≈ 1.0k by chance$57.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball11,911≈ 13k by chance$11.00
  • Match 321,251≈ 26k by chance$11.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball61,925≈ 66k by chance$2.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball99,764≈ 100k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 21,251 winners, 19% fewer than the 26k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball0$7,000,000
    Match 52$33,347
    Match 4 + Mega Ball20$1,667
    Match 4534$104
    Match 3 + Mega Ball869$57.00
    Match 321,251$11.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball11,911$11.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball61,925$2.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball99,764$1.00
    Totals196,276—