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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Saturday, 17 December 2011

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 17
  2. 23
  3. 29
  4. 37
  5. 46
  6. 17

Jackpot$16,000,000

The crowdHeld 14% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 205 of 1,751 under them

← 2011-12-14All recent draws2011-12-21 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed17 23 29 37 46 + 1729 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 December 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

44oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 29% of every possible ticket.

  • sum86th
  • odd89th
  • low32th
  • widest gap10th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread34th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 22 of each

1720times
2318times
2922times
3714times
46

Prize breakdown · 2011-12-17

  • Lines in play≈ 4.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$752.9Kto 184k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 24lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball0 winnerschance said 0.11

Where the money went

  • Match 2 + Mega Ball16%$119.6K
  • Match 330%$227.5K
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball16%$117.9K
  • 5 other tiers38%$287.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball0≈ 0.11 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

19times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 8 of each

177times

Every number was expected about that many times after 204 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (17, 23, 46) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 31 March 2010 — its closest relative in 204 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 69% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 December 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

152

The numbers add up to 152 — the 86th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

46 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$16,000,000
  • Match 53≈ 2.8 by chance$21,350
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball21≈ 22 by chance$1,525
  • Match 4474≈ 585 by chance$112
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball851≈ 922 by chance$56.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball11,958≈ 12k by chance$10.00
  • Match 320,682≈ 24k by chance$11.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball58,958≈ 60k by chance$2.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball91,112≈ 91k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 474 winners, 19% fewer than the 585 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball0$16,000,000
    Match 53$21,350
    Match 4 + Mega Ball21$1,525
    Match 4474$112
    Match 3 + Mega Ball851$56.00
    Match 320,682$11.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball11,958$10.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball58,958$2.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball91,112$1.00
    Totals184,059—