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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Wednesday, 16 November 2011

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 22
  2. 23
  3. 26
  4. 38
  5. 42
  6. 3

Jackpot$7,000,000

The crowdHeld 14% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 196 of 1,751 under them

← 2011-11-12All recent draws2011-11-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed22 23 26 38 42 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 November 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

37oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 37 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 17% of every possible ticket.

  • sum85th
  • odd9th
  • low32th
  • widest gap25th
  • neighbours79th
  • spread9th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 21 of each

2221times
2317times
2619times
3816times
42

Prize breakdown · 2011-11-16

  • Lines in play≈ 3.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$603.9Kto 146k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 25lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball0 winnerschance said 0.09

Where the money went

  • Match 2 + Mega Ball16%$96.4K
  • Match 330%$183.6K
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball15%$91.1K
  • 5 other tiers39%$232.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball0≈ 0.09 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

23times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 7 of each

38times

Every number was expected about that many times after 195 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (26, 38) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 21 May 2011 — its closest relative in 195 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 November 2011): 22 carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

151

The numbers add up to 151 — the 85th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. Side-by-side numbers: 22–23. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 34 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$7,000,000
  • Match 51≈ 2.2 by chance$51,703
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball9≈ 18 by chance$2,872
  • Match 4398≈ 472 by chance$108
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball633≈ 744 by chance$61.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball8,768≈ 9.9k by chance$11.00
  • Match 316,695≈ 19k by chance$11.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball45,551≈ 48k by chance$2.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball73,555≈ 74k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 + Mega Ball — 633 winners, 15% fewer than the 744 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball0$7,000,000
    Match 51$51,703
    Match 4 + Mega Ball9$2,872
    Match 4398$108
    Match 3 + Mega Ball633$61.00
    Match 316,695$11.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball8,768$11.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball45,551$2.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball73,555$1.00
    Totals145,610—