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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Saturday, 5 November 2011

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 8
  3. 10
  4. 16
  5. 22
  6. 11

Jackpot$17,000,000

The crowdHeld 25% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 193 of 1,751 under them

← 2011-11-02All recent draws2011-11-09 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 8 10 16 22 + 1129 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 November 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

18oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 18 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 1% of every possible ticket.

  • sum2th
  • odd9th
  • low99th
  • widest gap2th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread7th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 20 of each

314times
817times
1019times
1620times
22

Prize breakdown · 2011-11-05

  • Lines in play≈ 4.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$695.0Kto 193k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 22lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball0 winnerschance said 0.10

Where the money went

  • Match 2 + Mega Ball18%$124.2K
  • Match 333%$228.6K
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball12%$86.6K
  • 5 other tiers37%$255.5K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball0≈ 0.10 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

19times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 7 of each

1110times

Every number was expected about that many times after 192 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (3, 16) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 21 May 2011 — its closest relative in 192 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 November 2011): 22 carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

59

The numbers add up to 59 — the 2th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

10 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 3.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$17,000,000
  • Match 53≈ 2.6 by chance$21,006
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball32≈ 21 by chance$984
  • Match 4790≈ 556 by chance$66.00
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball1,232≈ 876 by chance$38.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball13,804≈ 12k by chance$9.00
  • Match 328,577≈ 23k by chance$8.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball62,077≈ 57k by chance$1.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball86,582≈ 87k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 790 winners, 42% more than the 556 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball0$17,000,000
    Match 53$21,006
    Match 4 + Mega Ball32$984
    Match 4790$66.00
    Match 3 + Mega Ball1,232$38.00
    Match 328,577$8.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball13,804$9.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball62,077$1.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball86,582$1.00
    Totals193,097—