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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Wednesday, 28 September 2011

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 6
  2. 13
  3. 24
  4. 29
  5. 44
  6. 3

Jackpot$14,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 182 of 1,751 under them

← 2011-09-24All recent draws2011-10-01 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 13 24 29 44 + 329 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 September 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

72oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 72 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 97% of every possible ticket.

  • sum45th
  • odd32th
  • low65th
  • widest gap46th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread74th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 19 of each

624times
1325times
2423times
2918times
44

Prize breakdown · 2011-09-28

  • Lines in play≈ 3.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$14.7Mto 166k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 23lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball1 winnerchance said 0.09

Where the money went

  • Match 5 + Mega Ball95%$14.0M
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball0.7%$107.6K
  • Match 31.4%$210.4K
  • 6 other tiers2.5%$365.3K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball1≈ 0.09 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

15times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 7 of each

37times

Every number was expected about that many times after 181 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (6, 13, 24) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 20 April 2011 — its closest relative in 181 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 65% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (24 September 2011): 29 carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

116

The numbers add up to 116 — the 44th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

44 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$14,000,000
  • Match 53≈ 2.4 by chance$19,389
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball16≈ 20 by chance$1,817
  • Match 4466≈ 512 by chance$104
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball777≈ 808 by chance$56.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball10,764≈ 11k by chance$10.00
  • Match 321,043≈ 21k by chance$10.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball53,123≈ 52k by chance$2.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball79,793≈ 80k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 466 winners, 9% fewer than the 512 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball1$14,000,000
    Match 53$19,389
    Match 4 + Mega Ball16$1,817
    Match 4466$104
    Match 3 + Mega Ball777$56.00
    Match 321,043$10.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball10,764$10.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball53,123$2.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball79,793$1.00
    Totals165,986—