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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Wednesday, 21 September 2011

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 26
  3. 31
  4. 35
  5. 45
  6. 4

Jackpot$12,000,000

The crowdHeld 7% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 180 of 1,752 under them

← 2011-09-17All recent draws2011-09-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 26 31 35 45 + 429 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 September 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

43oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 27% of every possible ticket.

  • sum76th
  • odd65th
  • low9th
  • widest gap84th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread87th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 19 of each

421times
2618times
3119times
3519times
45

Prize breakdown · 2011-09-21

  • Lines in play≈ 3.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$665.6Kto 156k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 24lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball0 winnerschance said 0.09

Where the money went

  • Match 2 + Mega Ball16%$106.3K
  • Match 331%$207.6K
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball15%$99.1K
  • 5 other tiers38%$252.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball0≈ 0.09 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

25times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 7 of each

43times

Every number was expected about that many times after 179 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (31, 35, 45) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 11 September 2010 — its closest relative in 179 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 64% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 September 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

141

The numbers add up to 141 — the 75th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. No two numbers side by side. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

26 had not appeared for 35 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$12,000,000
  • Match 52≈ 2.4 by chance$28,579
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball18≈ 19 by chance$1,587
  • Match 4442≈ 495 by chance$107
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball759≈ 780 by chance$56.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball9,663≈ 10k by chance$11.00
  • Match 318,872≈ 20k by chance$11.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball49,573≈ 51k by chance$2.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball77,052≈ 77k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈3.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 + Mega Ball — 9,663 winners, 7% fewer than the 10k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball0$12,000,000
    Match 52$28,579
    Match 4 + Mega Ball18$1,587
    Match 4442$107
    Match 3 + Mega Ball759$56.00
    Match 318,872$11.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball9,663$11.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball49,573$2.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball77,052$1.00
    Totals156,381—