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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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SuperLotto Plus · draw

Wednesday, 31 August 2011

ResultSuperLotto Plus

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 22
  3. 27
  4. 31
  5. 32
  6. 11

Jackpot$9,000,000

The crowdHeld 5% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/47 + 1/27 · since Jan 2010draw 174 of 1,751 under them

← 2011-08-27All recent draws2011-09-03 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 22 27 31 32 + 1129 Aug 2026, 09:28 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 31 August 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

63oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 63 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 80% of every possible ticket.

  • sum42th
  • odd32th
  • low32th
  • widest gap77th
  • neighbours79th
  • spread38th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 18 of each

213times
2217times
2723times
3118times
32

Prize breakdown · 2011-08-31

  • Lines in play≈ 4.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$9.7Mto 175k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 24lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Mega Ball2 winnerschance said 0.10

Where the money went

  • Match 5 + Mega Ball93%$9.0M
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball1.2%$113.4K
  • Match 32.2%$212.6K
  • 6 other tiers3.9%$381.1K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Mega Ball2≈ 0.10 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

13times
Stars · a separate 1-of-27 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 6 of each

119times

Every number was expected about that many times after 173 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (2, 31) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 10 August 2011 — its closest relative in 173 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 August 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 45% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

114

The numbers add up to 114 — the 41th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 120. Side-by-side numbers: 31–32. 37% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

22 had not appeared for 36 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$4,500,000
  • Match 54≈ 2.6 by chance$14,929
  • Match 4 + Mega Ball26≈ 21 by chance$1,148
  • Match 4414≈ 545 by chance$120
  • Match 3 + Mega Ball842≈ 860 by chance$53.00
  • Match 2 + Mega Ball11,338≈ 11k by chance$10.00
  • Match 321,255≈ 22k by chance$10.00
  • Match 1 + Mega Ball56,130≈ 56k by chance$2.00
  • Match 0 + Mega Ball84,967≈ 85k by chance$1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 414 winners, 24% fewer than the 545 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 5 + Mega Ball2$4,500,000
    Match 54$14,929
    Match 4 + Mega Ball26$1,148
    Match 4414$120
    Match 3 + Mega Ball842$53.00
    Match 321,255$10.00
    Match 2 + Mega Ball11,338$10.00
    Match 1 + Mega Ball56,130$2.00
    Match 0 + Mega Ball84,967$1.00
    Totals174,978—