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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Fantasy 5 · draw
ResultFantasy 5
Jackpot$314,000
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/39 · since Apr 2010draw 4,181 of 6,009 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:40 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 October 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 73% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 536 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 4,180 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (5, 12, 15, 32) with the draw of 3 November 2016 — its closest relative in 4,180 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 71% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (10 October 2021): 15 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 103 — the 54th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →12 had not appeared for 34 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈896k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 8,548 winners, 2% fewer than the 8.7k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 5 | 1 | $345,966 |
| Match 4 | 252 | $404 |
| Match 3 | 8,548 | $14.00 |
| Match 2 | 93,092 | $1.00 |
| Totals | 101,893 | — |