Sunday, 9 June 2019

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (10, 16, 24, 35) with the draw of 14 December 2012 — its closest relative in 3,325 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 63% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 June 2019): 30 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 115 — the 72th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

35 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.