Tuesday, 21 May 2019

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (11, 27, 28, 36) with the draw of 30 June 2018 — its closest relative in 3,306 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 63% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 May 2019): 11 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 112 — the 68th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 10–11, 27–28. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

36 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.