Friday, 1 January 2016

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (27, 28, 29, 32) with the draw of 24 January 2013 — its closest relative in 2,075 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 46% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (31 December 2015): 15 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 131 — the 90th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 27–28, 28–29. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

29 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.