Friday, 4 December 2015

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (12, 33, 37, 38) with the draw of 18 August 2011 — its closest relative in 2,047 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 46% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (3 December 2015): 33, 38 carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 124 — the 83th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 37–38. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.