Saturday, 19 February 2011

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (11, 27, 28) with the draw of 24 November 2010 — its closest relative in 318 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 96% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 February 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 52% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 100 — the 49th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 100. Side-by-side numbers: 27–28. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

27 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.