Tuesday, 15 September 2020

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (9, 17, 18, 35) with the draw of 20 April 2020 — its closest relative in 596 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 67% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 September 2020): 38 carried over. Chance says 63% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 140 — the 64th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 129. Side-by-side numbers: 17–18. 56% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

9 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 22% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.