Wednesday, 12 August 2020

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (3, 4, 35, 38) with the draw of 25 January 2019 — its closest relative in 562 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 65% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 August 2020): 38 carried over. Chance says 63% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 133 — the 55th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 129. Side-by-side numbers: 3–4. 56% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

35 had not appeared for 33 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 35% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.