Tuesday, 28 May 2019

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (21, 26, 38) with the draw of 10 May 2019 — its closest relative in 139 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 May 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 63% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 134 — the 56th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 129. No two numbers side by side. 56% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 16% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.