Monday, 14 January 2019

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (4, 34, 39) with the draw of 26 December 2018 — its closest relative in 24 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 51% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 January 2019): 7 carried over. Chance says 63% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 104 — the 18th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 129. Side-by-side numbers: 7–8. 56% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 15% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.