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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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The Pick · draw

Saturday, 21 August 2021

ResultThe Pick

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 5
  3. 8
  4. 11
  5. 14
  6. 29

Jackpot$4,800,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/44 · since Apr 2010draw 1,189 of 1,962 under them

← 2021-08-18All recent draws2021-08-25 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:39 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 5 8 11 14 2929 Aug 2026, 09:27 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 August 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

38oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 38 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 18% of every possible ticket.

  • sum1th
  • odd79th
  • low95th
  • widest gap63th
  • neighbours23th
  • spread26th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 162 of each

1166times
5166times
8172times
11156times
14

Prize breakdown · 2021-08-21

  • Lines in play≈ 415kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$104.2Kto 11k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 39lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 0.06

Where the money went

  • Match 538%$40.0K
  • Match 433%$34.5K
  • Match 329%$29.7K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 0.06 by chance$4,800,000
  2. Match 5

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

176times
29155times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,188 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (8, 11, 14, 29) with the draw of 31 July 2019 — its closest relative in 1,188 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 84% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 August 2021): 8 carried over. Chance says 61% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

68

The numbers add up to 68 — the 1th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 135. No two numbers side by side. 54% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

11 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 3.1× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
20≈ 13 by chance
$2,000
  • Match 4690≈ 620 by chance$50.00
  • Match 39,912≈ 9.9k by chance$3.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈415k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 690 winners, 11% more than the 620 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60$4,800,000
    Match 520$2,000
    Match 4690$50.00
    Match 39,912$3.00
    Totals10,622—