Wednesday, 24 May 2017

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (18, 24, 39) with the draw of 31 August 2016 — its closest relative in 745 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 May 2017): 39 carried over. Chance says 61% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 158 — the 77th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 135. No two numbers side by side. 54% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

18 had not appeared for 32 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 29% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.