Wednesday, 30 May 2012

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (18, 24, 36) with the draw of 30 November 2011 — its closest relative in 225 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 May 2012): 36 carried over. Chance says 61% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 140 — the 56th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 135. No two numbers side by side. 54% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

24 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 24% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.