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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 4 November 2026

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 8
  3. 14
  4. 17
  5. 20
  6. 32
  7. 5

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,362 of 1,362 under them

← 2026-10-31All recent drawsLatest on record

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 5 Nov 2026, 01:21 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 8 14 17 20 32 + 55 Nov 2026, 01:21 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 November 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

44oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 29% of every possible ticket.

  • sum15th
  • odd5th
  • low95th
  • widest gap48th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread38th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 204 of each

4202times
8180times
14193times
17225times
20

Prize breakdown · 2026-11-04

  • Lines in play≈ 6.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.2Mto 224k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 1.7

Where the money went

  • Match 5 + Bonus16%NZ$203.8K
  • Match 432%NZ$397.5K
  • Match 3 + Bonus32%NZ$398.3K
  • 2 other tiers20%NZ$248.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 1.7 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

202times
32210times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,361 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (4, 8, 17, 32) with the draw of 9 September 2023 — its closest relative in 1,361 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (31 October 2026): 4, 8, 20 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

95

The numbers add up to 95 — the 14th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

14 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 11% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus6≈ 10 by chanceNZ$33,959
  • Match 5317≈ 345 by chanceNZ$637
  • Match 4 + Bonus839≈ 863 by chanceNZ$55.00
  • Match 413,707≈ 14k by chanceNZ$29.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus18,966≈ 18k by chanceNZ$21.00
  • Match 3190,137≈ 190k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 + Bonus — 18,966 winners, 3% more than the 18k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus6NZ$33,959
    Match 5317NZ$637
    Match 4 + Bonus839NZ$55.00
    Match 413,707NZ$29.00
    Match 3 + Bonus18,966NZ$21.00
    Match 3190,137NZ$0.00
    Totals223,972—