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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 30 September 2026

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 8
  3. 19
  4. 23
  5. 25
  6. 30
  7. 7

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,352 of 1,352 under them

← 2026-09-26All recent drawsLatest on record

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 1 Oct 2026, 01:41 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 8 19 23 25 30 + 71 Oct 2026, 01:41 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 September 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

67oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 67 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 83% of every possible ticket.

  • sum26th
  • odd79th
  • low50th
  • widest gap38th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread43th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 203 of each

1212times
8178times
19227times
23214times
25

Prize breakdown · 2026-09-30

  • Lines in play≈ 7.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$2.3Mto 251k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 29lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 1.9

Where the money went

  • Match 643%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 418%NZ$432.0K
  • Match 3 + Bonus18%NZ$425.4K
  • 3 other tiers21%NZ$491.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 1.9 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

211times
30193times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,351 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 23, 25, 30) with the draw of 22 February 2023 — its closest relative in 1,351 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 September 2026): 19 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

106

The numbers add up to 106 — the 26th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus10≈ 12 by chanceNZ$22,182
  • Match 5415≈ 381 by chanceNZ$530
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,219≈ 954 by chanceNZ$41.00
  • Match 415,430≈ 15k by chanceNZ$28.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus23,636≈ 20k by chanceNZ$18.00
  • Match 3210,214≈ 210k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,219 winners, 28% more than the 954 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus10NZ$22,182
    Match 5415NZ$530
    Match 4 + Bonus1,219NZ$41.00
    Match 415,430NZ$28.00
    Match 3 + Bonus23,636NZ$18.00
    Match 3210,214NZ$0.00
    Totals250,926—