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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 15 July 2026

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 6
  2. 10
  3. 14
  4. 19
  5. 20
  6. 27
  7. 39

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,330 of 1,356 under them

← 2026-07-11All recent draws2026-07-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 10 14 19 20 27 + 3910 Oct 2026, 18:42 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 July 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

32oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 32 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 10% of every possible ticket.

  • sum16th
  • odd21th
  • low95th
  • widest gap7th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread10th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 199 of each

6198times
10223times
14185times
19222times
20

Prize breakdown · 2026-07-15

  • Lines in play≈ 12Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$3.2Mto 410k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 62 winnerschance said 3.2

Where the money went

  • Match 631%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 422%NZ$710.6K
  • Match 3 + Bonus22%NZ$691.6K
  • 3 other tiers25%NZ$793.0K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 62≈ 3.2 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

195times
27187times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,329 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (6, 19, 27) with the draw of 27 May 2026 — its closest relative in 1,329 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 July 2026): 10 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

96

The numbers add up to 96 — the 15th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 19–20. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

14 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$500,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus21≈ 19 by chanceNZ$17,028
  • Match 5657≈ 637 by chanceNZ$540
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,440≈ 1.6k by chanceNZ$56.00
  • Match 426,319≈ 25k by chanceNZ$27.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus30,070≈ 34k by chanceNZ$23.00
  • Match 3351,054≈ 351k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈12M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 + Bonus — 30,070 winners, 11% fewer than the 34k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 62NZ$500,000
    Match 5 + Bonus21NZ$17,028
    Match 5657NZ$540
    Match 4 + Bonus1,440NZ$56.00
    Match 426,319NZ$27.00
    Match 3 + Bonus30,070NZ$23.00
    Match 3351,054NZ$0.00
    Totals409,563—