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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Saturday, 4 July 2026

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 15
  3. 17
  4. 18
  5. 26
  6. 30
  7. 28

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,327 of 1,356 under them

← 2026-07-01All recent draws2026-07-08 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 15 17 18 26 30 + 2810 Oct 2026, 18:42 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 July 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

63oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 63 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 74% of every possible ticket.

  • sum29th
  • odd21th
  • low79th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours63th
  • spread38th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 199 of each

2204times
15213times
17221times
18190times
26

Prize breakdown · 2026-07-04

  • Lines in play≈ 12Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$3.4Mto 414k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 66 winnerschance said 3.2

Where the money went

  • Match 630%NZ$1.0M
  • Match 423%NZ$768.6K
  • Match 3 + Bonus22%NZ$761.2K
  • 3 other tiers25%NZ$857.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 66≈ 3.2 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

192times
30188times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,326 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 15, 26, 30) with the draw of 19 October 2024 — its closest relative in 1,326 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 July 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

108

The numbers add up to 108 — the 28th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. Side-by-side numbers: 17–18. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

15 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$166,667
  • Match 5 + Bonus17≈ 19 by chanceNZ$22,721
  • Match 5643≈ 638 by chanceNZ$596
  • Match 4 + Bonus1,664≈ 1.6k by chanceNZ$53.00
  • Match 425,621≈ 26k by chanceNZ$30.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus34,600≈ 34k by chanceNZ$22.00
  • Match 3351,391≈ 351k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈12M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 + Bonus — 1,664 winners, 4% more than the 1.6k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 66NZ$166,667
    Match 5 + Bonus17NZ$22,721
    Match 5643NZ$596
    Match 4 + Bonus1,664NZ$53.00
    Match 425,621NZ$30.00
    Match 3 + Bonus34,600NZ$22.00
    Match 3351,391NZ$0.00
    Totals413,942—