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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Lotto · draw

Wednesday, 11 March 2026

ResultLotto

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 12
  3. 22
  4. 32
  5. 35
  6. 38
  7. 11

JackpotNZ$1,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/40 + 1/40 · since Nov 2011draw 1,294 of 1,357 under them

← 2026-03-07All recent draws2026-03-14 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 12 22 32 35 38 + 1118 Oct 2026, 02:20 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 March 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

52oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 47% of every possible ticket.

  • sum80th
  • odd21th
  • low21th
  • widest gap28th
  • neighbours21th
  • spread56th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 194 of each

7180times
12203times
22204times
32194times
35

Prize breakdown · 2026-03-11

  • Lines in play≈ 7.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outNZ$1.5Mto 261k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 30lines took a prize
  • Match 60 winnerschance said 2.0

Where the money went

  • Match 5 + Bonus16%NZ$249.4K
  • Match 432%NZ$498.6K
  • Match 3 + Bonus32%NZ$487.9K
  • 2 other tiers20%NZ$304.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. Match 60≈ 2.0 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

199times
38183times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,293 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (7, 12, 35, 38) with the draw of 3 April 2019 — its closest relative in 1,293 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 March 2026): 32 carried over. Chance says 65% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

146

The numbers add up to 146 — the 80th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 123. No two numbers side by side. 58% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

12 had not appeared for 31 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 22% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
NZ$1,000,000
  • Match 5 + Bonus8≈ 12 by chanceNZ$31,180
  • Match 5407≈ 402 by chanceNZ$608
  • Match 4 + Bonus976≈ 1.0k by chanceNZ$58.00
  • Match 416,619≈ 16k by chanceNZ$30.00
  • Match 3 + Bonus21,213≈ 21k by chanceNZ$23.00
  • Match 3221,308≈ 221k by chance—
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 16,619 winners, 3% more than the 16k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 60NZ$1,000,000
    Match 5 + Bonus8NZ$31,180
    Match 5407NZ$608
    Match 4 + Bonus976NZ$58.00
    Match 416,619NZ$30.00
    Match 3 + Bonus21,213NZ$23.00
    Match 3221,308NZ$0.00
    Totals260,531—